The last little hill is not too testing (strava here), but this is a hard day with quite a lot of hills and almost never on the flat. This stage could be a break if the right one goes or another reduced bunch sprint.
I think if Sky don't get in the break then they will work for Swift, the same goes with NetApp and maybe OPQS will work too. Therefore I'm going to say the most likely scenario is like previous stages the bunch together at the base of the final little climb.
I can't see anyone being strong enough to attack at the base and hold off teams looking to set up a sprint much like in Llandudno when Renshaw won. Today's stage is a bit harder than that one and I'm not sure Renshaw/Cav will be there.
Like two days ago Boyles have a four place market and that makes King of Fourth Tyler Farrar a bet at 33/1. He excels after hard days and against this field I do think he has a real chance of taking an actual win. Swift has proven recently that he gets beat repeatedly when he should win, Bennett seems to be lacking his usual punch although he did say he might take a few stages to warm up.
I'm also going to take a small bet on Trusov of Tinkoff at 125/1 with Boyles, he's after a stage win this week and it would have to come on a stage like this.
0.8pts ew Farrar 33/1 Boyles (4 places)
0.25pts ew Trusov 125/1 Boyles (4 places)
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