With a crosswind basically all day it's hard to imagine some of the teams won't try and break the field up a bit and eliminate some guys from GC from the get go.
Teams which are good in echelons and have the team for it here are; OPQS, Belkin, Lotto, BMC.
This could well be a really hard day of constant need to be positioned near the front to avoid the risk of being caught out by an echelon attack and wet conditions.
This means I want to avoid riders coming back from long lay off's (Bouhanni), who are suspect in the wet (Greipel) and back form or an outsider from an echelon team, but keeping stage winner bets small.
0.75pts on Guardini win at 10/1 various
0.3pts ew on Breschel 100/1 various.
H2H's
Guardini v modolo 2.13 Pinnacle 1.5pts, Guardini is coming off a double stage win and Modolo doesn't have a lot of form.
Breschel v porsev 1.75 Pinnacle 1pt, not sure Porsev will be sprinting for Katusha with Tsatevich here.
**Results**
Hugely messy sprint with crashes but my man Guardini keeps himself out of mischief and sprints for the win. A 10/1 winner and the H2H v the crashed modolo obviously wins too. The other H2H is a loss as it seems Porsev is Katusha's man this week.
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